Tarek Mansour: evaluation

Transcript context

…I think what you're saying is social media feeds ultimately try to resolve upfront. They're like, "I need to figure you out. Are you a Democrat? Are you a Republican? Like what post should I show to you?" And pretty quickly, and you know, people have complained about this, of this phenomenon where you end up down a particular rabbit hole because they have pigeonholed you as kind of this type. And you're saying just prediction markets do not have that phenomenon. There's a little bit of a reverse phenomenon. It's like, are we feeling too certain about this person? And I think that depolarizes things because the dimension is not, we're not one-dimensional anymore, which is like Republican, Democrat. And that's what you're seeing and what you're hearing about. Now it's like, "Well, this guy's kind of cool." And that's Talarico, and maybe he might do good in Texas even though he's a Democrat. The same thing happened with the New York mayor situation. Everyone was like Cuomo was going to win 100%, 100% Cuomo was going to win, there's not even a chance. And we were just seeing Mamdani's odds going up. And I think it's just the progressive message was really working with New Yorkers and the markets were really seeing that uptick. And that decrease in polarization really comes from people taking a step back and being like, "What do I actually think is going to happen?"…

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