Bret Taylor: belief

Transcript context

…You're not excited about the interventional manifold space. Yeah, exactly. It won't quite be like the Apollo landing, but I remember the Kasparov chess match, and certainly things like AlphaGo were really meaningful. Given the progress in math, I'm hopeful we have at least one moment of discovery that is inspiring, because I think a lot of the dialog around AI right now is economic opportunities, but also what could go wrong. I actually think one of the main things that can go right is actually discovery in science that actually can improve the human condition. I'm really excited for it because I think it will contextualize why so many of us are excited about this technology in a way that captures attention. As you said, something beyond an end-dimensional manifold blah, blah, blah. I feel not confident in that, but it certainly feels like the ingredients are there for that. I think we'll continue to see mainstream adoption of AI by both consumers and companies. That doesn't really feel like a prediction, but I think this will be really a year of adoption of agents. We're certainly seeing that in Sierra's customer base, but I think we're going to see it more writ large. Then you've already seen ChatGPT growth, really unprecedented levels. Things like OpenClaw, you can see that translate over to agents and the more long-running autonomous tasks. It does feel like by the time we exit this year, can that go from a niche community to something more mainstream? It feels probable to me. Then the other thing is, I think most companies in Silicon Valley won't write code by hand. That might seem... It's funny that it feels obvious right now. You're like, "Oh yeah, of course." You're just nodding like, "Yeah, why not?" But if I had said that four months ago, that would have been a bold prediction. But I think that's really interesting just because that's such a fundamental state change. I say in Silicon Valley because I do think it takes a while for these tools to diffuse through society. Silicon Valley is insular enough that I think it will here, but I'm not sure it will happen through every company in the world yet. The year of agents across businesses and just people finally getting their Claw-style agents, and then all code written by AI as well. It's a good set of predictions. Great. Thank you.…

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