Nate Silver: belief

Transcript context

…But you are learning new ideas, new theories, new concepts? Or you’re just applying what you learned, say, 13 years ago, whenever? No, it still feels fresh to me. When I’ve talked about the book to people, people understand the expected value part. That’s easily explicable to economics 101 people. I think the equilibrium part — solve for the equilibrium — is something that people don’t get as much. It’s like what’s the equilibrium that should emerge, given everyone has their incentives to play this hand optimally, so to speak. Or everyone has different incentives, but they’re all being rational in some capacity. That kind of thing I think about a lot when it comes to even online discourse, for example. Why are people behaving a certain way on Twitter or X, for example? Let’s say random Nash equilibria — do you take that seriously? It seems to hold with soccer kicks, but in poker, anything you do — do you ever use the concept?…

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