Nate Silver: belief

Transcript context

…I’m not sure that’s true, though. I know all the polls that people cite, but when I look at the electorate’s willingness to tolerate, say, ICE activity, my sense is they’ll just put up with it. Look, I think the consensus is that we have some bad guys, as Trump would call them, and people are not particularly sympathetic to them. I think people are broadly tolerant toward the migrant worker class for the most part. I think people are broadly supportive of skilled immigration. People want more border enforcement. There is a consensus there that the two parties can’t seem to actually reach a consensus on. I agree with the polling issues a little bit. If you ask people, “How do you feel about this 10-item list of questions on immigration?” They’ll side with the left. “Then, who do you like more? Trump or Democrats?” They’ll still say we trust Trump a little bit more. Democrats do have this problem a little bit, where you give them an inch and they’ll take a mile. I think people correctly are worried about those excesses. During COVID, for example, I was very cautious in the first three months, really, of COVID. I remember the first time I went outdoors to a restaurant. It was June or something. I was terrified. I hadn’t been around other people apart from a couple of friends, if we’re being honest, in months. But then you realized that half of the public health people wanted no real socialization until we had vaccines and maybe not even after that. So, people are worried that if you let progressives have some power, then things do get taken too far, even though, nominally, the incrementals said they might agree with the liberal side. Two last questions. First, do you have a surprising prediction for the United States?…

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