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Published · transcript-backed

Tarek Mansour: evaluation

17 Mar 2026 Cheeky Pint Creating prediction markets (and suing the CFTC) with Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara

“You cannot find like a clearly defined demographic who they are. And I think that the thing where we got to now, and that took a very long time and you had to incentivize, is we have the community, a strong community of superforecasters that are on Kalshi that can help price these things extremely effectively and fast.”

— Tarek Mansour

Source trail

Everything needed to verify it.

Speaker
Tarek Mansour
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
evaluation
Recorded
17 Mar 2026
Publisher
Cheeky Pint

Transcript context

…Internet anons. Exactly. The super forecasters, those are... It's like extremely dispersed. You cannot find like a clearly defined demographic who they are. And I think that the thing where we got to now, and that took a very long time and you had to incentivize, is we have the community, a strong community of superforecasters that are on Kalshi that can help price these things extremely effectively and fast. Where you don't have... But it took a while to kind of get them incentivized and come in and spend the time and resources to take it from a hobby, which is—it was a hobby to for a part-time job. Now it's a full-time job because the pie is so big. And a metric that we can share is actually the... When you think about traditional market makers, the biggest percentage on a platform of a traditional market maker is less than 5% of the maker orders in that market, of the liquidity.…

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