High Signal Podcasts Evidence ledger
Method
Browse
← Back to evidence

Evidence receipt / belief

Published · transcript-backed

Nate Silver: belief

13 Aug 2025 Conversations with Tyler Nate Silver on Life's Mixed Strategies

“Two years ago, I had a really good time betting the women’s NCAA basketball tournament before the markets had adapted, but I think people figured out, “Okay, these are pretty soft lines.”

— Nate Silver

Source trail

Everything needed to verify it.

Speaker
Nate Silver
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
belief
Recorded
13 Aug 2025
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

Transcript context

…Does betting help it in relative terms? There’s probably not a ton. Two years ago, I had a really good time betting the women’s NCAA basketball tournament before the markets had adapted, but I think people figured out, “Okay, these are pretty soft lines. ” The issue is, in any type of betting, if you’re any good, you’ll get limited if you have repeated success or even waitress at Look EV plus bet casino, you’ll also get limited quite quickly. Betting women’s sports — there’s probably some smart kid out there, some smart college kid who’s going to make a lot of money betting WNBA women’s college basketball, women’s anything really. He’s building a model or just using intuition? Or reading a lot on the internet? How might he be doing that?…

Stored transcript either side of the excerpt. The highlighted words are the published quote; the surrounding text is unedited source, never generated.

Search evidence