High Signal Podcasts Evidence ledger
Method
Browse
← Back to evidence

Evidence receipt / uncertainty

Published · transcript-backed

Tyler Cowen: uncertainty

30 Dec 2020 Conversations with Tyler Conversations with Tyler 2020 Retrospective

“I don’t know if I’m going to have any idea, but middle management — I don’t know.”

— Tyler Cowen

Source trail

Everything needed to verify it.

Speaker
Tyler Cowen
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
uncertainty
Recorded
30 Dec 2020
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

Transcript context

…All right. Finishing on our first segment on production function, this is a negative production function in the sense that it’s something that this person realized they weren’t good at. Okay. Here it goes. “It turns out it is challenging to manage. It involves real skills. It stressed me out. I don’t think I did a great job of it. You get a good appreciation for the idea that, even though it might be hard to measure or to see externally, there is real skill being deployed in middle management.” I don’t know if I’m going to have any idea, but middle management — I don’t know. Nicholas Bloom worked at McKinsey. Again, that’s a guess, not memory, but how’s that? That’s a good guess, but not correct.…

Stored transcript either side of the excerpt. The highlighted words are the published quote; the surrounding text is unedited source, never generated.

Search evidence