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Scott Horton: evaluation

26 Jun 2025 Lex Fridman Podcast #473 – Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

“That’s not the same as racing to the bomb. That’s why Marco Rubio says, “Never mind the intelligence,” because the intelligence says what I just said.”

— Scott Horton

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Everything needed to verify it.

Speaker
Scott Horton
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
evaluation
Recorded
26 Jun 2025
Publisher
Lex Fridman Podcast

Transcript context

…First, let me say on the cover of Enough Already, “Devastating,” Daniel Ellsberg, “Outstanding,” Daniel L. Davis, “Essential,” Ron Paul. You are respected by a very large number of people. You have decades of experience. And the same thing with Mark. Extremely respected by a very large number of people. Experts. There’s a lot of disagreements here, and we’re going to unfortunately leave a lot of the disagreements on the table for the aforementioned nuclear scientist to deconstruct later. Let’s not try to … Every single claim does not have to be perfectly refuted. Let’s just leave it on the table, the statements as they stand, and let’s try to also find things we kind of agree on and try … I know this might be difficult, but to steelman the other side. That’s the thing I would love to ask you. Maybe give Mark a chance to speak a little bit but to try to … For both of you to try to steelman on the other side. People who are concerned about Iran developing a nuclear program … Can you steelman that case? And the same. The people who are concerned- I think that, in my opening statement, quite frankly, I don’t carry any brief for the Ayatollah. I’m a Texan. I don’t give a damn about what some Shiite theocrat says about nothing, right? My interest is the people of this country and its future and what’s true. And so I don’t mind telling you. Even though the Iranians never said, “We’re building a latent nuclear weapons capability,” that’s clearly what they’re doing is showing that they can make a nuke, so don’t make me make a nuke. That has been their position. Their position has not been, “I’m making a nuke so I can wipe Israel off the map.” Their position has been, “Look, if you guys don’t attack us, we could just keep this civilian program the way it is.” And again, there’s always the implication that they’re just building up this uranium stockpile, but no, they’re not. That’s in reaction to, one, Donald Trump leaving the deal in 2018, two, the assassination in December of 2020 of the Iranian nuclear scientist, Fakhrizadeh, or however you say that, and then in April of ’21, the sabotage at Natanz. And there’s a Reuters story that says, right after they sabotage Natanz, that’s when the Ayatollah decided let’s enrich up to 60%, which why stop 30% short of 90% 235? It’s because they’re not even making a threat. They’re making the most latent a threat. A bargaining chip to negotiate away. They’re trying to put pressure on the United States to come back to the table. That’s not the same as racing to the bomb. That’s why Marco Rubio says, “Never mind the intelligence,” because the intelligence says what I just said. Point made. Let’s try, if possible, to keep it to a minute and two of back and forth-…

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