Tim Scarfe: prediction

Transcript context

…together to come to an answer. Maybe they're just in possession of those representations and another human isn't. I have a friend that is a professional esports player. I showed him 1 of the games and he completed the 1st level without spending an extra move that he didn't have to. It was immediate to him what the goal was, he recognized the pattern, and I showed him the game within 3 seconds he finished the 1st level with sub superhuman performance, let's say. And okay, he has been playing professionally games for 5 years. Right? But and he's been trained on this. But like exactly as you say, like there's something we can bootstrap on and we do bootstrap on and it does work. So maybe replicating that with LLMs is enough. Yeah. I think gaming's a really good example. Mean, a good friend of mine is called DDK and he does commentary on Counter Strike and stuff like that. And it's when I when I watch him do commentary, seems super situational. So like in in Quake 3, you know, there there's you gotta time the the mega health and then there's the red armor and then there's a there's a position over here. And what you get is like the emergence of these complex situational phenomena in the game. And this is this doesn't seem anything like what Charley is talking about, you know, because there's 2 worlds, right? There's the sort of the emergent complexity world and then there's the the sort of reductionist, you know, kind of core knowledge world. I think in this world, we can still use intelligence and we can still like acquire abstractions and descriptions for these high level phenomena. But but what do we do? Do do we analogize them in terms of low level knowledge we already have? Or are they something new? It it seems like a different modality. No. I don't really have a good answer to that. I just only I think I can base my answer on the on these examples and I completely agree with you that these that there are some abstractions like that. But I I don't know. I don't know. Like, but you know, like Conway's Game of Life.…

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