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Published · transcript-backed

David Rosenthal: prediction

30 May 2023 Acquired Lockheed Martin

“The reason that it was worth trying was that if you could create a naval based intercontinental nuclear strike capability, it completely changes the strategic landscape of deterrence, first strike versus second strike, and retaliation.”

— David Rosenthal

Source trail

Everything needed to verify it.

Speaker
David Rosenthal
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
prediction
Recorded
30 May 2023
Publisher
Acquired
Episode
Lockheed Martin

Transcript context

…You could imagine another issue, which is these things have rockets on them. You have to not destroy the launchpad, which is the submarine full of American humans while launching it. Yeah. This is a big challenge. The reason that it was worth trying was that if you could create a naval based intercontinental nuclear strike capability, it completely changes the strategic landscape of deterrence, first strike versus second strike, and retaliation. What we were really afraid of, we thought the Soviets would pursue a first strike policy if they felt they were able to. The way that they would do that is if they felt that they could, in that first strike, knock out all of our nuclear capabilities. If they could target all of our land-based ICBMs, incapacitate them, then we will be incapable of responding with a second strike, and then they could blow up our cities and whatnot. If all of a sudden you have a mobile, naval-based missile system, that completely changes the chessboard. It's quite the deterrent.…

Stored transcript either side of the excerpt. The highlighted words are the published quote; the surrounding text is unedited source, never generated.

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