Evidence receipt / belief
Published · transcript-backedWilliam MacAskill: belief
10 Aug 2022 Conversations with Tyler William MacAskill on Effective Altruism, Moral Progress, and Cultural Innovation
“I also admit, intuitively, I have very rapid diminishing returns to value. So, intuitively, I think that you take a galaxy, and it’s full of bliss, best possible galaxy — 50/50 for that versus all accessible galaxies are flourishing, and so on.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- William MacAskill
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- belief
- Recorded
- 10 Aug 2022
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
Transcript context
…I say, no way should you do it. Yes. I also admit, intuitively, I have very rapid diminishing returns to value. So, intuitively, I think that you take a galaxy, and it’s full of bliss, best possible galaxy — 50/50 for that versus all accessible galaxies are flourishing, and so on. There’s 20 billion of them, and I’m like, “Nope, don’t want to take that bet.” I also think that there are issues for expected value theory, in general. It comes in, in particular, with low probabilities of large amounts of value. Sure. Pascal’s wager.…
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