Evidence receipt / prediction
Published · transcript-backedScott Horton: prediction
26 Jun 2025 Lex Fridman Podcast #473 – Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East
“Because they framed him for treason, so he was completely unable to engage in real diplomacy with Russia, and I bet that he’d agree with me on that one too.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Scott Horton
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- prediction
- Recorded
- 26 Jun 2025
- Publisher
- Lex Fridman Podcast
Transcript context
…… by the Trump administration. Trump appointed Brian Hook, or Secretary Pompeo actually appointed Brian Hook, who was the lead Iran envoy, and he began a process of talking to the Europeans. Now, the Europeans actually rejected this idea. And so at some point Trump said, “Look, if the Europeans aren’t prepared to get onside, then I’m out of the deal. I’m out of the deal.” And if you’re interested, I can talk about why I thought we should have stayed in the deal. Because I thought it gave us some important restrictions in the short term, certain leverage, but Trump decides to withdraw from that agreement because he recognizes that the fatal flaw of the agreement, the fatal flaws of the agreement are, one, giving them any enrichment capability, especially at an industrial size, within 15 years. And two, are these sunsets, as Scott said, which under which these restrictions are going to go away, and Iran’s going to end up with a massive nuclear program. I think that’s just important. We can talk about the JCPOA, the process, and everything else, if you’re interested- I’d like to go ahead and quickly accuse the FBI and the CIA of framing Trump for treason with Russia and pushing the Russiagate hoax. I’m trying to agree with my friend here. Because what it is is that that completely ruined Donald Trump’s ability to engage in real diplomacy with Russia for his entire first term. Certainly, for the first three years of it, he was completely handcuffed. It was terrible, as I’m sure you’re well aware, for the future, now our past, and current history of Ukraine, as well as for this deal too. Why couldn’t Trump pick up the phone? I don’t know the details here, but I’ll take his word for it, that the British and the French and the Germans weren’t being nice to Trump. They didn’t like him. They didn’t want to do it. Why couldn’t he pick up the phone and say, “Hey, Putin, I need you to call the Ayatollah for me and tell him, hey, you’d like to see him lift these sunsets too and this and that,”? Why? Because they framed him for treason, so he was completely unable to engage in real diplomacy with Russia, and I bet that he’d agree with me on that one too. Actually, can I just say one thing interesting? And again, I think it’s going to be a later topic, and so it’s going to be a provocative statement, but I think let’s put it on the table. I absolutely agree with Scott. I think it was a travesty of the accusations against Donald Trump as a Russian agent. I mean, completely debunked, but it did … I think it paralyzed. I mean, completely debunked. But it did, I think it paralyzed his presidency for two, two and a half years. I agree with Scott. The idea that you would accuse the President of the United States of being a foreign agent for Vladimir Putin, I think is unfounded. And I thought at the time, disgraceful, and I thought it was really important. I think Scott did really good work in debunking that. I would say that just a couple of days ago, I was watching a podcast Scott was on and he accused Trump of being an agent for Netanyahu and the Israeli government. So I think again, the accusations that the President of the United States is a foreign agent for some foreign government, I think we should just put all of that aside in any discussion and just say, President Trump makes his own decisions whether we agree with them or agree with them, but he’s not working for the FSB and he’s not working for Mossad. President Trump makes his own decisions based on American national security.…
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