Evidence receipt / evaluation
Published · transcript-backedSam Bankman-Fried: evaluation
5 Jul 2022 Dwarkesh Podcast Sam Bankman-Fried - Crypto, Altruism, and Leadership
“What would our risk model say about that? It's not super helpful for those commodities right now because it doesn't know how to understand a warehouse.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Sam Bankman-Fried
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- evaluation
- Recorded
- 5 Jul 2022
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
Transcript context
…Given the benefits of cross-margining and the fact that less capital has to be locked up as collateral, is the long-run equilibrium that the single exchange will win? And if that's the case, then, in the long run, there won't be that much competition in derivatives? I don't think we're going to have a single exchange winning. Among other things, there are going to be different decisions made by different exchanges—which will be better or worse for particular situations. One thing that people have brought up is, “How about physical commodities?” Like corn or soy? What would our risk model say about that? It's not super helpful for those commodities right now because it doesn't know how to understand a warehouse. So, you might want to use a different exchange, which had a more bespoke risk model that tried to understand how the human would understand what physical positions someone had on. That would totally make sense. That can cause a split between different exchanges. In addition, we've been talking about the clearing house here, but many exchanges can connect to the same clearinghouse. We're already, as a clearing house, connected to a number of different DCMs and excited for that to grow. In general, there are going to be a lot of people who have different preferences over different details of the system and choose different products based on that. That's how it should work. People should be allowed to choose the option that makes the most sense for them. What are the biggest differences in culture between Jane Street and FTX?…
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