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Evidence receipt / belief

Published · transcript-backed

Tyler Cowen: belief

27 Dec 2023 Conversations with Tyler Conversations with Tyler 2023 Retrospective

“I think in less than two years. Now, whether that’s a product on the market that I can subscribe to, I’m less sure of, but technologically speaking, it’s probably possible right now.”

— Tyler Cowen

Source trail

Everything needed to verify it.

Speaker
Tyler Cowen
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
belief
Recorded
27 Dec 2023
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

Transcript context

…When would an LLM get good enough that you feel like it could help you do that? It can just excise the stuff that you don’t even need to see. I think in less than two years. Now, whether that’s a product on the market that I can subscribe to, I’m less sure of, but technologically speaking, it’s probably possible right now. It’s a question of at what cost? What’s the token cost? If it’s $2 per query to do that? Well, I’m not going to do that even if I could afford it. Again, it’ll be affordable in a few years’ time. You’ll train it on Tyler Cowen and then say, “Just take out the parts that Tyler already knows.” What would give you the certainty that it’s doing the job, and would you actually —…

Stored transcript either side of the excerpt. The highlighted words are the published quote; the surrounding text is unedited source, never generated.

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