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Sam Altman: prediction

5 Nov 2025 Conversations with Tyler Sam Altman on Trust, Persuasion, and the Future of Intelligence - Live at the Progress Conference

“I think we’re really great at finding new things to do, new games to play, new ways to be useful to each other, to compete, to get fulfilled, whatever, but I do put a significant probability that the social contract has to change significantly.”

— Sam Altman

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Everything needed to verify it.

Speaker
Sam Altman
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
prediction
Recorded
5 Nov 2025
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

Transcript context

…What we’re seeing with Intel, lithium, rare earths is, the government is becoming an equity holder. Again, not of last resort, sort of second or third resort. I don’t mean this as a comment about the Trump administration. I think this is something we might be seeing in any case or see in the future after Trump is gone. How do you plan for OpenAI, knowing that’s now a thing on the table in the American economy? Look, there are all these ways where you can imagine that I put almost no probability mass onto the world where no one has any meaning in the post-AGI world because the AI is doing everything. I think we’re really great at finding new things to do, new games to play, new ways to be useful to each other, to compete, to get fulfilled, whatever, but I do put a significant probability that the social contract has to change significantly. I don’t know what that will look like. Can I see the government getting more involved there and thus having some strong opinions about AI companies? I can totally see that. We don’t live our lives that way. We just try to work with capitalism as it currently exists. I believe that that should be done by the companies and not the government, although we’ll partner with the government and try to be a good collaborator. I don’t want them writing our insurance policies. Now, I did a trip through France and Spain this summer with my wife. Every hotel we booked, other than the first one, well, we found it through GPT-5. We didn’t book it through GPT. Almost every meal we ate, right? You didn’t get a dime for this. I’m telling my wife, “Well, this just seems wrong,” right? What is the new world going to look like soon enough? How will that work?…

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