Evidence receipt / belief
Published · transcript-backedNate Silver: belief
23 Feb 2016 Conversations with Tyler Nate Silver on the Supreme Court and the Underrated Stat for Finding Good Food (Live at Mason)
“Dickey, that already discernibly affects the success of both pitchers. But I think there is a second thing, which is that sports tends to engender conformism.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Nate Silver
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- belief
- Recorded
- 23 Feb 2016
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
Transcript context
…We live in a global economy, with billions of laborers. Why don’t more of them learn the knuckleball? Wilbur Wood, Hoyt Wilhelm. They were not athletic. The pay’s pretty high. R. A. Dickey won the Cy Young award in 2012 with a knuckleball, which he taught himself. People put labor into a lot of endeavors, but why so few knuckleballers? Why isn’t that a more regularized statistical process? Why so lumpy? I have two answers. One answer is that there are diminishing returns in the number of knuckleballers in the league, so when you have a second knuckleballer in the National League, when you already have R. A. Dickey, that already discernibly affects the success of both pitchers. But I think there is a second thing, which is that sports tends to engender conformism. A lot of walks of life do, and that’s the whole tension, again, that comes up, is on the one hand, knowing that the market is usually pretty good, but on the other hand, that there are powerful biases to conform. Trump is like the knuckleballer of politics then?…
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