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Evidence receipt / preference

Published · transcript-backed

Dwarkesh Patel: preference

4 Jun 2024 Dwarkesh Podcast Leopold Aschenbrenner — 2027 AGI, China/US super-intelligence race, & the return of history

“Potentially, if the takeoff is slower than anticipated, I prefer the private companies in that world.”

— Dwarkesh Patel

Source trail

Everything needed to verify it.

Speaker
Dwarkesh Patel
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
preference
Recorded
4 Jun 2024
Publisher
Dwarkesh Podcast

Transcript context

…Just corporate governance in general. Because you can cause a coup, the same capabilities are going to be true of the government project, right? The modal president in 2025, Donald Trump, will be the person versus you not trusting Sam or Dario to have these capabilities. I agree that if Sam and Dario have a one-year lead on ASI, in that world I’m concerned about privatization. In that exact same world, I’m very concerned about Donald Trump having the capability. Potentially, if the takeoff is slower than anticipated, I prefer the private companies in that world. In no part of this matrix is it obviously true that the government-led project is better. Let’s talk about the government project and checks and balances. In some sense, my argument is a Burkean one. American checks and balances have held for over 200 years through crazy technological revolutions. The US military could kill every civilian in the United States.…

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