Tyler Cowen: commitment

Transcript context

…My pamphlet Predictions for the Year 1708 was a satirical piece that poked fun at the practice of astrology and the popularity of almanacs that purported to predict future events. By creating the persona of Isaac Bickerstaff, an astrologer who makes bold and ludicrous predictions, I aimed to expose the absurdity and gullibility surrounding these practices. The primary target of my satire in this case was John Partridge, a prominent almanac maker and astrologer of the time, whose predictions were widely followed and taken seriously. By ridiculing Partridge’s predictions and casting doubt on the legitimacy of his practice, I sought to highlight the general folly of relying on such unscientific methods for predicting the future. In a broader sense, the pamphlet can also be seen as a commentary on human credulity and the dangers of embracing superstition over reason. By lampooning the practice of astrology and the belief in almanacs, I aimed to encourage readers to question the basis of such beliefs and to embrace a more rational and critical approach to understanding the world. OK, we’re going to play a little game here. I will name a thinker or other item from your time, and you will tell me whether you think it is overrated or underrated. How about John Donne, overrated or underrated? I have great respect for John Donne, the metaphysical poet and cleric. Donne’s work is known for its complexity, wit, and innovative use of metaphors. His unique style and approach to poetry have had a lasting influence on English literature. In my opinion, John Donne is not overrated, but rather appropriately rated or even underrated, considering the depth and quality of his work.…

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