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Published · transcript-backed

Dylan Patel: prediction

25 Aug 2026 Dwarkesh Podcast Dylan Patel – Anthropic & OpenAI will have most of the world’s compute by 2028

“I don’t think it’ll happen the year after, because the world is capital constrained.”

— Dylan Patel

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Speaker
Dylan Patel
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
prediction
Recorded
25 Aug 2026
Publisher
Dwarkesh Podcast

Transcript context

…But you don’t think that’s gonna happen next year? I don’t think it’ll happen this year. I don’t think it’ll happen next year. I don’t think it’ll happen the year after, because the world is capital constrained. But in a world where, say, the top labs are generating, even combined, a trillion dollars in revenue next year, they’re not able to take $10B of that—…

Stored transcript either side of the excerpt. The highlighted words are the published quote; the surrounding text is unedited source, never generated.

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