Nate Silver: belief

Transcript context

…That wouldn’t be doom. Those would be some bad events. Right now, drones can be very bad, and they are every day. You’ve said this before, too. We have not lived with nuclear weapons for that many generations. That’s still a little bit frightening. You get to get some of the Nick Bostrom stuff, where eventually, when we have some technology we unfortunately invent, where it’s asymmetric, where any one crazy person can maybe destroy the world if they get access to the right systems that can’t be that well protected, and things like that. Look, in some ways, I think the AIs are more human-like than people expected, and that, to me, seems like a positive update. If you think about the Manifold types in terms of the framework in your book, how they think about risk — is there a common feature that they’re more risk-averse, or that they worry more? Is there a common feature that they like the idea that they hold some kind of secret knowledge that other people do not have? How do you classify them? They’re just high in openness, or what is it?…

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