Evidence receipt / prediction
Published · transcript-backedTyler Cowen: prediction
30 Dec 2020 Conversations with Tyler Conversations with Tyler 2020 Retrospective
“We can debate exactly when how many people will take the vaccine and so on, but it seems most of them are sustainable, or they would have closed by now.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Tyler Cowen
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- prediction
- Recorded
- 30 Dec 2020
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
Transcript context
…Jared Sylvester from Twitter asks, “What is the post-pandemic outlook for ethnic restaurants? Are any of your heuristics for finding good ones different now?” At least where I live — Northern Virginia — I’ve been surprised, I might even say shocked, at how few of them have closed. They must, in some way, be more thickly capitalized than I had thought. We can debate exactly when how many people will take the vaccine and so on, but it seems most of them are sustainable, or they would have closed by now. DC is a different story. A lot have closed, or they’re just weirdly boarded up. But where I live, I haven’t lost a single favorite that I’m aware of, and that’s very heartening. Heuristics haven’t really changed because —…
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