Nate Silver: belief

Transcript context

…Is the US presidency now in an age of what you might call parity in NBA terms? A series of one-term presidents, one after the other, just like the NBA champions keep on turning over and there’s no dynasty. We had this long era of dynasty — Bush, Clinton, my goodness, whatever else. Now it’s over and there aren’t going to be repeats. Or what’s that going to look like? I think part of it is a result . . . And yes, if Trump wins again, then he’ll be limited to one term. You would therefore have three one-term presidents in a row for the first time since, I think, 1892-ish. I was trying to look that up the other day. I think one thing that happened is that the canon slogan . . . I’m 46, so Carter was president when I was born. The canon that you emerge into when you’re first covering politics is post–World War II politics, 1946 through Bill Clinton, 1996 or whenever. That was a period of historically very low polarization in the United States. You have lots of things going on. You have this de facto three-party system with Northern Democrats and Republicans and Southern Democrats, but you had relatively low partisanship, a lot of bipartisanship. Yes. A lot of things are going well.…

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