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Published · transcript-backed

Ben Gilbert: prediction

13 Jun 2023 Acquired Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi

“I remember hearing in 2013 that it was cool that I was in 2013 because 2014, one year away, was going to be the year of self-driving cars.”

— Ben Gilbert

Source trail

Everything needed to verify it.

Speaker
Ben Gilbert
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
prediction
Recorded
13 Jun 2023
Publisher
Acquired

Transcript context

…The middle is where you go to die. More lightning round. I remember hearing in 2013 that it was cool that I was in 2013 because 2014, one year away, was going to be the year of self-driving cars. Here we are in 2023. Is next year the year? How close are we? It's an unanswerable question. It is because there's the last 2% of use cases, the tail use cases. It's unknowable what it will take to get past that last 2%. There's this pretty interesting philosophical question, which is, how safe does a robot have to be? In the US, I think there are 40,000 deaths as a result of car accidents. Let's say that robot cars are 10 times safer.…

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