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Published · transcript-backed

Nate Silver: belief

21 Aug 2024 Conversations with Tyler Nate Silver on Risk-takers, Politicians, and Poker Players

“I think there is a lot to be said for having — skin in the game is a term that I didn’t invent.”

— Nate Silver

Source trail

Everything needed to verify it.

Speaker
Nate Silver
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
belief
Recorded
21 Aug 2024
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

Transcript context

…— but there’s still some epistemic defect in the people that I observe regularly. I think they’re a little bit too trusting, is one thing. I think there is a lot to be said for having — skin in the game is a term that I didn’t invent. I think poker players — one of their best qualities is they have really good BS detectors. They’ve seen lots of smart SBF-like nerds who go on a winning streak, win a couple of tournaments, but are bullshitters and aren’t all they’re cracked up to be. I think EAs maybe lack that BS-detecting ability. Do you ever see that old YouTube video when Ali G presents to Donald Trump — pre-presidential Trump — and Trump just dismisses him immediately and walks away? Trump has the BS detection ability. How does that fit with your model of the river people? Isn’t he, in other ways, almost the opposite of the analytical river people?…

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