Nate Silver: belief

Transcript context

…Things have become more like criminology all the time in US politics. Yes. That involves making inferences from incomplete data. At one point he was offered to be part of a team to figure out how many deaths there had actually been in the Holocaust. Thankfully, he turned that down because that would be a thankless task for sure. He was starting out by working with data that was imperfect, inadequate, sometimes fabricated, and trying to find the real inferences from there. A lot of it comes from being very competitive, being on a debate team and things like that in high school, playing poker for many years now, having a fair amount of life experience. We talked before about how I’m a little bit rambunctious and easily dissatisfied, and at this point, I think I’ve traveled — not like you, but been to a lot of different places and talked to a lot of people. What’s the stupidest risk you’re willing to take? It could be, “Oh, I’d go in a submersible with a billionaire.” Or “I’d take a helicopter ride every week.” What’s your stupidest risk?…

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