Evidence receipt / belief
Published · transcript-backedGwern: belief
13 Nov 2024 Dwarkesh Podcast Gwern — Anonymous writer who predicted AI trajectory on $12K/year salary
“I think that’s going to tell us something important about human willpower and dysfunctionality.”
— Gwern
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Gwern
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- belief
- Recorded
- 13 Nov 2024
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
Transcript context
…People weren't paying attention to scaling in 2020. Is there some trend today where people aren’t really comprehending the full implications of where this is headed? I'm excited by the weight-loss drugs, the GLP drugs. Their effects in general on health and addiction across all sorts of behaviors really surprised me. No one predicted that as far as I know. While the results are still very preliminary, it does seem like it's real. I think that’s going to tell us something important about human willpower and dysfunctionality. What's going wrong broadly in the modern environment? Do GLP drugs break the Algernon argument—the one you listed in your blog post—that if there are any simple and useful interventions without bad side effects, then evolution should have already found them?…
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