Evidence receipt / belief
Published · transcript-backedBen Gilbert: belief
7 Jun 2021 Acquired Berkshire Hathaway Part III
“I suspect if we set a million people free over the next 70 years, there will be someone who outperforms Warren, but they will have done it with a lot more risk involved.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Ben Gilbert
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- belief
- Recorded
- 7 Jun 2021
- Publisher
- Acquired
- Episode
- Berkshire Hathaway Part III
Transcript context
…Yeah, he outlasted everybody. I wrote down A. Here's my rationale for an A. We can debate if this holds. My rationale for an A versus an A plus was that I think we will probably see better investors in our lifetime than Warren in the past. I think that's just a natural consequence of the numbers getting bigger over time and the world moving faster and there being more change. It depends what you mean better investors, because I actually don't think so, depending on how you think about this. I'm not sure that you can do what Warren did over his career with the career starting today without taking on a lot more risk or a lot more leverage. It's just so competitive to be an investor now. I suspect if we set a million people free over the next 70 years, there will be someone who outperforms Warren, but they will have done it with a lot more risk involved. There's a lot more luck in being the one of those million that does better than him. Okay, so here was my thinking on that. I tried to think of it like I did not run the numbers so I may just be way off, we can debate. I tried to think of a tangible example and the tangible example I've thought of is Sequoia Capital as a whole. When was it? ’72, they're coming up on 50 years next year. We don't have their aggregate returns across all their funds, but I suspect they might be as good or better than Berkshire.…
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