High Signal Podcasts Evidence ledger
Method
Browse
← Back to evidence

Evidence receipt / uncertainty

Published · transcript-backed

Annie Duke: uncertainty

1 Jul 2020 Conversations with Tyler Annie Duke on Poker, Probabilities, and How We Make Decisions

“Same in golf. I’m just going to have to say I don’t know there. It originated in France too, so I don’t know.”

— Annie Duke

Source trail

Everything needed to verify it.

Speaker
Annie Duke
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
uncertainty
Recorded
1 Jul 2020
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

Transcript context

…I believe so. I’m not an expert in the matter, but yes, I think wherever there’s gambling, even with chess, people make their living from gambling and chess, and that’s an absurd gambling game because who’s ever better is evident very quickly, right? Right, which is why speed chess allows you to feel like you got unlucky. That’s why the real money is made in speed chess. The other thing of course is that, I guess, in chess, you can negotiate. You start with two pawns fewer than I get, so you can try to negotiate what the tipping point is. Same in golf. I’m just going to have to say I don’t know there. It originated in France too, so I don’t know. That’s a really good question. Let’s call it a stumper. How smart are those top 500 poker players just as humans?…

Stored transcript either side of the excerpt. The highlighted words are the published quote; the surrounding text is unedited source, never generated.

Search evidence