Christopher Kirchhoff: prediction

Transcript context

…But it’s a frequency-versus-intensity issue, right? Oh, sure. You wouldn’t want everybody in the world to have access to a nuclear weapon. But it shows you that sometimes, technological parity can have a stabilizing effect in international relations. The question about killer robots is, I think, very similar. If we were to, for instance, unilaterally disarm in a field of technology where you really can’t have verification that the other side is also disarming. You can do this with nuclear weapons because of the specialized technology that goes into them. You can do it a little bit with chemical and biological weapons. You certainly cannot do it with software. It’s just too difficult. So, I think, had that group of people been successful in, for instance, pausing military development using AI, I think we would be even more imperiled in Ukraine today. That’s because of the difficulty of monitoring software compared, say, to nuclear weapons. That would be one factor?…

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