Evidence receipt / prediction
Published · transcript-backedTyler Cowen: prediction
28 Sept 2022 Dwarkesh Podcast Tyler Cowen - Talent, Collapse, & Pessimism of Sex
“I think the US, unless it totally screws up on immigration, will always have a very seriously good flow of young people that we don't ever have to enter the aging equilibrium the way Japan probably already has.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Tyler Cowen
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- prediction
- Recorded
- 28 Sept 2022
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
Transcript context
…What do you think will change in talent spotting as society becomes older? It depends on what you mean by society. I think the US, unless it totally screws up on immigration, will always have a very seriously good flow of young people that we don't ever have to enter the aging equilibrium the way Japan probably already has. So I don't know what will change. Then there's work from a distance, there's hiring from a distance, funding from a distance. As you know, there's EV India, and we do that at a distance. So I don't think we're ever going to enter that world.. But then what does it look like for Japan? Is part of the reason that Japanese cultures and companies are arranged the way they are and do the recruitment the way they do linked to their demographics?…
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