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Dwarkesh Patel: belief

9 Jan 2025 Dwarkesh Podcast Tyler Cowen — The #1 bottleneck to AI progress is humans

“I interviewed you nine months ago, and I was asking you about AI then. I think your attitude was like, "Eh.”

— Dwarkesh Patel

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Speaker
Dwarkesh Patel
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
belief
Recorded
9 Jan 2025
Publisher
Dwarkesh Podcast

Transcript context

…I'm very impressed by the Industrial Revolution. Like you could argue progress, or all progress studies here, most important event in human history, maybe. Typical rate of economic growth during that period was about 1 1/2 percent. And the future is about compounding and sticking with it and, you know, seeing things pay off in the long run. Just human beings are not going to change that much. And I don't think that property of our world will change that much, even with a lot more IQ and conscientiousness. I interviewed you nine months ago, and I was asking you about AI then. I think your attitude was like, "Eh. " How has your attitude changed since we talked nine months ago? I don't remember what I thought in what month, but I would say on the whole, I see more potential in AI than I did a year ago. I think it has made progress more quickly than I had been expecting, and I was pretty bullish on it back then. The 01 model, to me, is very impressive. I think further extensions in that direction will make a big, big difference. The rate at which they come is hard to say, but it's something we have, and we just have to make it better.…

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