Evidence receipt / belief
Published · transcript-backedTyler Cowen: belief
9 Aug 2023 Conversations with Tyler Paul Graham on Ambition, Art, and Evaluating Talent
“I think there’s often a threshold of two, and then another threshold at about seven, and after that, it’s very tough for it to flip.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Tyler Cowen
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- belief
- Recorded
- 9 Aug 2023
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
Transcript context
…I’ve thought a lot about where the cutoff is. Like, where’s the point? If you made a graph, what’s your probability of changing your mind after minute number N? After minute number one or two, the probability of changing your mind is pretty high. I would say YC interviews could actually be seven minutes instead of ten minutes, but ten minutes is already almost insultingly short, so we kept it at ten. We could have made it seven. I think there’s often a threshold of two, and then another threshold at about seven, and after that, it’s very tough for it to flip. Yes. Although that doesn’t mean you’re always right.…
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