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Martin Casado: evaluation

19 Feb 2026 Latent Space Bitter Lessons in Venture vs Growth: Anthropic vs OpenAI, Noam Shazeer, World Labs, Thinking Machines, Cursor, ASIC Economics — Martin Casado & Sarah Wang of a16z

“Clearly from the AV wave deep map, clearly from the AV wave, I would say scale AI was actually a horizontal one for That’s fair, you know, for robotics early on.”

— Martin Casado

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Speaker
Martin Casado
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
evaluation
Recorded
19 Feb 2026
Publisher
Latent Space

Transcript context

…think? Yeah, maybe I’ll answer a slightly different. Question, but adjacent to what you asked, um, which is maybe an area that we’re not, uh, investing [00:20:00] right now that I think is a question and we’re spending a lot of time in regardless of whether we pull the trigger or not. Um, and it would probably be on the hardware side, actually. Robotics, right? And the robotics side. Robotics. Right. Which is, it’s, I don’t wanna say that it’s not getting funding ‘cause it’s clearly, uh, it’s, it’s sort of non-consensus to almost not invest in robotics at this point. But, um, we spent a lot of time in that space and I think for us, we just haven’t seen the chat GPT moment. Happen on the hardware side. Um, and the funding going into it feels like it’s already. Taking that for granted. Yeah. Yeah. But we also went through the drone, you know, um, there’s a zip line right, right out there. What’s that? Oh yeah, there’s a zip line. Yeah. What the drone, what the av And like one of the takeaways is when it comes to hardware, um, most companies will end up verticalizing. Like if you’re. If you’re investing in a robot company for an A for agriculture, you’re investing in an ag company. ‘cause that’s the competition and that’s surprising. And that’s supply chain. And if you’re doing it for mining, that’s mining. And so the ad team does a lot of that type of stuff ‘cause they actually set up to diligence that type of work. But for like horizontal technology investing, there’s very little when it comes to robots just because it’s so fit for, for purpose. And so we kinda like to look at software. Solutions or horizontal solutions like applied intuition. Clearly from the AV wave deep map, clearly from the AV wave, I would say scale AI was actually a horizontal one for That’s fair, you know, for robotics early on. And so that sort of thing we’re very, very interested. But the actual like robot interacting with the world is probably better for different team. Agree. Yeah, I’m curious who these teams are supposed to be that invest in them. I feel like everybody’s like, yeah, robotics, it’s important and like people should invest in it. But then when you look at like the numbers, like the capital requirements early on versus like the moment of, okay, this is actually gonna work. Let’s keep investing. That seems really hard to predict in a way that is not,…

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