Dario Amodei: uncertainty

Transcript context

…Let me ask a very specific question so that we can figure out exactly what kinds of capabilities we should think about soon. Maybe I’ll ask about it in the context of a job I understand well, not because it’s the most relevant job, but just because I can evaluate the claims about it. Take video editors. I have video editors. Part of their job involves learning about our audience’s preferences, learning about my preferences and tastes, and the different trade-offs we have. They’re, over the course of many months, building up this understanding of context. The skill and ability they have six months into the job, a model that can pick up that skill on the job on the fly, when should we expect such an AI system? I guess what you’re talking about is that we’re doing this interview for three hours. Someone’s going to come in, someone’s going to edit it. They’re going to be like, “Oh, I don’t know, Dario scratched his head and we could edit that out. ” “Magnify that.”…

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