Evidence receipt / belief
Published · transcript-backedAdam Brown: belief
26 Dec 2024 Dwarkesh Podcast Adam Brown — Bubble universes, space elevators, & AdS/CFT
“If you make me make a number, I think that there is a greater than 90% chance that in 100 years, we are still limited by the speed of light.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Adam Brown
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- belief
- Recorded
- 26 Dec 2024
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
Transcript context
…What is your probability if, like, a million years from now, we are able to communicate faster than light? How surprised are you? That is a tricky one. That is a really tricky one. It's only a century that we've thought you can't communicate faster than the speed of light. A million years is such a radical time that maybe we've sort of dissolved the question into some greater question, and we understand it doesn't even really make sense. I would be pretty surprised. If you make me make a number, I think that there is a greater than 90% chance that in 100 years, we are still limited by the speed of light. There's a 98% chance, if you make me be precise. Okay, so then what are the other constraints on a future civilization that they might care about? If we've got these superhuman intelligences and they're colonizing the galaxy, what are the things they might want to do that they can't do? They probably care about energy. They care about computation.…
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