Evidence receipt / prediction
Published · transcript-backedAlex Volkov: prediction
8 Nov 2023 Latent Space AGI is Being Achieved Incrementally (OpenAI DevDay w/ Simon Willison, Alex Volkov, Jim Fan, Raza Habib, Shreya Rajpal, Rahul Ligma, et al)
“Interesting to that if I do like a recap for a month, the beginning of the month, most of the updates don't matter, because like every, every, This, Yeah, nobody's gonna look at your notes, they're gonna have a GPT trained on your notes answering everything.”
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Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Alex Volkov
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- prediction
- Recorded
- 8 Nov 2023
- Publisher
- Latent Space
Transcript context
…and contrast? So, let me maybe start with like who noose research is. Oh yeah, yeah, most people haven't heard of it. It's written N O U S O. I mispronounced it now multiple times. It's noose research. It's one of the few... Organizations online that started like from a discord and then like kept going up until like a significant amount of people are working with them, affiliated with them, of folks who take open source model to its most extreme capability. So collect data, data sets from open source open source and more closed source. And depending on that, they release like with different licenses and then they find to an open source models that were like released to us from like Lama, for example, and Mistral, which is a French company that recently released a 7d model. And they've been doing this since Lama 1, but recently it really kicked into high gear with Lama 2 releases because Lama 2 ended up being with a commercial license. So you could actually use this for actual, you know, products and services. And Mistral came out with like a full Apache 2 license with a BitTorrent link. I think you remember that. And so these organizations suddenly became like a very, very important currency in the, in the world of like, Where the whole world of AI is going because they're running local models and many companies love open AI, but either cannot afford this or cannot risk the chance the open AI changes something like what's our dev day. And so many people are turning on to like, okay, if we want to run our own hardware, how do we actually do this? And you can run it, you can run Llama2 and Mistron, all these models on your own hardware, but then you want to fine tune them for your own purposes. And so how do you actually fine tune? And now organizations like News Research was probably the biggest one, Alignment Labs, Shout out to Austin and folks from from alignment labs skunkworks, and many of these like people come up and say, hey, we have the know how and we only started learning about this like eight months ago, six months ago themselves, but now they're like the You. Specialized more people that find two models and actually release the best kind of models on the Hug and Face open source leaderboard. Because apparently it's better. Hermes is like an instruction dataset, 900, 000 instructions. I don't really know where it's from. Maybe I don't want to know. They also do some fun models. There's like a mystical model that they do. They release like three models a week. It's insane. Right? And it's very hard to keep up. Like, I'm like, okay, which one is actually the one that I should pay attention to? Yeah. So first of all, you're welcome to join Thursday Eye and then we talk about all the models every week. Yes. It's kind of... Interesting to that if I do like a recap for a month, the beginning of the month, most of the updates don't matter, because like every, every, This, out all the models every week. Yes. It's kind of... Interesting to that if I do like a recap for a month, the beginning of the month, most of the updates don't matter, because like every, every, This, Yeah, nobody's gonna look at your notes, they're gonna have a GPT trained on your notes answering everything. I have, yeah, I'm doing like every week, and every week we're talking about like, this model outperforms that model like significantly, and we're noticing significant changes from week to week. Literally in the span of a month we went from a 33 billion parameter model, which is big, And parameter count is not everything there is where you can have a smaller model with like larger, longer training that actually will perform better than whatever, but we're noticing smaller and smaller models doing outperforming bigger ones significantly. Zephyr from Hug and Face outperformed Llama 70B and Zephyr is like only like a 70B model. On some things. On some things, for sure. And so this is very interesting because like it's really hard to evaluate. Evaluation frameworks are bad. Everybody's saying that they're not representing of anything. People can fine tune and over tune on them. And so, there's this whole kind of subculture of open source mostly on Discord, some of them on, on X and Twitter spaces. And for some reason, but I find it very humbling and incredible. They also hung out in Thursday. I, and so that's how I got to this. That's how I got to meet like news research folks Ticknium, Imozilla, and they organized the, the counter party event last night together with some other EAC people that we know from Twitter as well. Including Mark, Jason. So apparently he was supposed to, I didn't see him. Oh, okay. But like he was supposed So I was like, is that Mark? I don't, I don't know. Anyway, but the opening eye party was at a art museum. Mm-Hmm. . And then the news research party was at a club as a club? Yes. At Folsom. Folsom Street In San Francisco Club. Yeah. Yeah. 10 15 falls, I think. Sure. Open the eye was a very like. Highbrow, buttoned up, event, Yeah, there was a live band, someone playing jazz. Which, I think I mentioned this once, it was too loud. We want to talk, we don't want to listen to music. No, no, no, we're just buttoned up, event, Yeah, there was a live band, someone playing jazz. Which, I think I mentioned this once, it was too loud. We want to talk, we don't want to listen to music. No, no, no, we're just And then, it was like a lot of people, a lot of networking, a lot of people trying to get together, maybe do business together. Very, OpenAI actually showed up. A lot of people, we, we stood in line, there was a long line for the Magna Millers to, to step in and then everybody like passing us around was like open the eye employee that passing like straight through. Yeah. And then that ended around eight, which was like the standard San Francisco like buttoned up. Oh yeah. That's when you go to bed. That's when you go to bed. And that's when the other party kind of started. Yeah. Yeah. And I think they just seized the opportunity 'cause everybody's in town for the open AI stuff. Yeah. Why not? Make a splash, an announcement for, like, for open sourcing AI. So literally, the invite was keepaifree. com, which was the website, and the invite was keepaiopen. com. And you had to register, you had to go in there, and this was, to me, an incredible... Kind of show of Twitter in real life. So all of the folks who follow Mark Andreesen, he recently stepped into this thing with like the techno optimism stuff. He started to boost the effective acceleration folks. And so there's a lot of like signature stuff from that like ecosystem on Twitter. There's like, don't thread on me with like, you don't take away my GPUs. There's like all these signs across the club. The, it's a very visual club as well. So we're, the DJs is a whole, like a three D projected thing. So there's like a bunch of like art and like live things about KPI open. I, I found it like very, very super cool. I, I, I'll, I have to tell you tidbit I saw me and Killian were there from open interpreter. We saw two people with lab coats. It was like, what's the deal with nap codes? So we went to Nest and they just said, Hey, we just like came back from our work where we work on semiconductors. We're actually like touching chips, whatever, just like didn't change out of it. And my head was like so incredible in the keep AI open GPU kind of a poor party. We have people who literally work on superconductors came from the work, like they're working on chips. Yeah, yeah. Semiconductors are I'm personally still recovering from that. That was the whole thing for me, yeah. I think you'll have to get some news people to actually speak, like, about the mission, about the actual product, but as far as I understand this no matter how much the product side will be, and there will likely be, there's so many people that are doing, like, so incredible stuff that people notice, like, you know so no matter how, like, how much of the business side will be, they're, like, committed to fully open source as much as possible, including data sets, including models that are, like, TraceMasters, for example, their model that's like trained on the occult and the physical and metaphysical, you can't expect OpenAI to let you. Talk with a model, they'll answer with like mystical questions, mystical stuff.…
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