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Published · transcript-backed

Paul Christiano: belief

31 Oct 2023 Dwarkesh Podcast Paul Christiano — Preventing an AI takeover

“Like, I think people there’s a reasonable chance if you don’t have a splash about chat GBT, you have a splash about GBT four, and if you fail to have a splash about GBT four, there’s a reasonable chance of a splash about GBT 4.”

— Paul Christiano

Source trail

Everything needed to verify it.

Speaker
Paul Christiano
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
belief
Recorded
31 Oct 2023
Publisher
Dwarkesh Podcast

Transcript context

…Net negative or Rlhf was net negative. So here, just on the acceleration, it’s just like, how is the press of chat GBT? And my guess is net negative, but I think it’s not super clear and it’s much less than slowing AI. Slowing AI is great. If you could slow overall AI progress, I think slowing AI by causing you know, there’s this issue we’re slowing AI now, like, for chat GBT, you’re building up this backlog. Like, why does Chat GBT make such a splash? Like, I think people there’s a reasonable chance if you don’t have a splash about chat GBT, you have a splash about GBT four, and if you fail to have a splash about GBT four, there’s a reasonable chance of a splash about GBT 4. 5. And just like, as that happens later, there’s just, like, less and less time between that splash and between when an AI potentially kills everyone. Right? So people governments are talking about it as they are now, and people aren’t. But okay, so let’s talk about the slowing down, because this is also all.…

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