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Published · transcript-backed

Jeff Holmes: prediction

23 Aug 2023 Conversations with Tyler Celebrating Marginal Revolution's 20th Anniversary

“We did ’06 to 2016, and I think the third era of MR is 2016 to 2020, which is the rise of populism, Trump.”

— Jeff Holmes

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Everything needed to verify it.

Speaker
Jeff Holmes
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
prediction
Recorded
23 Aug 2023
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

Transcript context

…He writes us and tells us, “Look at the posting and the timing, and look how it was. You guys need to get rid of Fake Bill.” There’s no grand conspiracy. It’s just, there are many Bills. Let’s go back to eras of MR. We did ’06 to 2016, and I think the third era of MR is 2016 to 2020, which is the rise of populism, Trump. It’s a smaller, shorter period because of COVID and things that happened around 2020. But what about that specific time, both for MR and, again, the intellectual discourse online? It definitely fell. The thing which marked it to me was actually our most commented — I believe it’s our most commented-on post — was just Tyler’s post, and it just said “Sarah Palin.” That was it. That is the most commented — [laughter]…

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