Evidence receipt / belief
Published · transcript-backedCarl Shulman: belief
14 Jun 2023 Dwarkesh Podcast Carl Shulman (Pt 1) — Intelligence explosion, primate evolution, robot doublings, & alignment
“I think that probably won't happen and later I can maybe give a more exclusive breakdown of why.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Carl Shulman
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- belief
- Recorded
- 14 Jun 2023
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
Transcript context
…My picture of aligned subhuman AI to the superhuman AI being aligned is still murky. If you can talk about that more concretely. Eliezer’s claims were something like 95%, 98% plus likely to be killed in an AI takeover. I think that probably won't happen and later I can maybe give a more exclusive breakdown of why. But I do want to clarify that I still think it's a shockingly high risk. Depending on the day I might say one in four or one in five that we get an AI takeover that seizes control of the future, makes a much worse world than we otherwise would have had and with a big chance that we're all killed in the process.…
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