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Kim Bowes: belief

15 Apr 2026 Conversations with Tyler Kim Bowes on the Economic Lives of Rome's Ninety Percent

“I think plague is working on a population that’s already declining, or rather, it’s not the plague that we think.”

— Kim Bowes

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Everything needed to verify it.

Speaker
Kim Bowes
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
belief
Recorded
15 Apr 2026
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

Transcript context

…How does the plague hypothesis fit into your view? I don’t think it’s plague. I think plague is working on a population that’s already declining, or rather, it’s not the plague that we think. The Justinianic plague is too late. That ship is sailed by the early to mid-sixth century when the Justinianic plague gets going. Of course, remember, there’s at least two other major plagues that we know about and probably a whole bunch of ones that we don’t. Which, if you think about it, and I’m right, that the population is unusually high, are in an inevitability. In a world which—circling back to your earlier question about sanitation—in a world which is hyper-dense, hyper-urbanized, and yet still never really managed to solve the urban sanitation problem. Endemic disease, obsidies, cholera, dysentery, all the real killers are really important and very high. The possibility for a bigger event to cause a demographic shock is high. Why those population numbers then would have stayed low is something that I still have to figure out. If you want my early forecast, inflation and population, those are the two culprits behind what happened to the Roman Empire. A few questions about method. Just tell us, what is landscape archaeology?…

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