Evidence receipt / belief
Published · transcript-backedStanley McChrystal: belief
20 Oct 2021 Conversations with Tyler Stanley McChrystal on the Military, Leadership, and Risk
“I think the people who were thinking seriously about risk — you hate to generalize — were thinking better.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Stanley McChrystal
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- belief
- Recorded
- 20 Oct 2021
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
Transcript context
…Do you think 1950s America was better at thinking about risk because it had just lived through World War II? Or are we better at thinking about risk? I think the people who were thinking seriously about risk — you hate to generalize — were thinking better. If you think about all of the deep thought that went on nuclear strategy — while on the one hand, nuclear war was unthinkable, and we laugh now with the Dr. Strangelove idea, how could they even contemplate it? In reality, game theory and whatnot was actually some pretty careful thought on actual risk and then things like deterrence. When it comes to warfare, what do you think is, today, the most common probabilistic mistake made by US policymakers? I don’t mean this to be about naming names. Just in general, what’s our blind spot?…
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