Evidence receipt / uncertainty
Published · transcript-backedSpeaker unverified: uncertainty
17 Mar 2026 Cheeky Pint Creating prediction markets (and suing the CFTC) with Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara
“Yeah, I don't know if there's a full... I know that, for example, there's a lot for international elections, just on translating all documents posted in English to do all of that.”
— Speaker unverified
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Speaker unverified
- Attribution
- Not verified from this transcript
- Claim type
- uncertainty
- Recorded
- 17 Mar 2026
- Publisher
- Cheeky Pint
Transcript context
…I guess what I'm curious about is, fully autonomous, no human in the loop, consuming information and providing a market based on that? That feels like it's coming quite soon, if it's not like your Claw making a market. Yeah, I don't know if there's a full... I know that, for example, there's a lot for international elections, just on translating all documents posted in English to do all of that. But I don't know if it's all fully— We're doing... So we don't know if the models are there yet. So we launched Kalshi Research recently. And one of the threads that we want to work on is we're talking to some of the research labs to create a new benchmark around which models actually predict the future better, which could be a unique benchmark around are these models developing some understanding of the world that goes beyond memorizing old patterns? And I'm honestly excited to see how it goes.…
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