Evidence receipt / uncertainty
Published · transcript-backedPaul Christiano: uncertainty
31 Oct 2023 Dwarkesh Podcast Paul Christiano — Preventing an AI takeover
“Like if you set aside manufacturing costs and just look at operating costs or performance trade offs, like, I don't know, more like 3 orders of magnitude or something like that, or some things that.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Paul Christiano
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- uncertainty
- Recorded
- 31 Oct 2023
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
Transcript context
…Industrial settings, was there a consistent number of orders of magnitude in these different systems or was it all over the. Place so like a very rough ballpark? It was like sort of for the most extreme things, you were looking at like five or six orders of magnitude. And that would especially come in, like, energy cost of manufacturing where bodies are just very good at building complicated organs like extremely cheaply. And then for other things like leafs or eyeballs or livers or whatever, you tended to see more. Like if you set aside manufacturing costs and just look at operating costs or performance trade offs, like, I don't know, more like 3 orders of magnitude or something like that, or some things that. Are on the smaller scale, like the nanomachines or whatever that we can't do at all.…
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