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Dario Amodei: belief

11 Nov 2024 Lex Fridman Podcast #452 – Dario Amodei: Anthropic CEO on Claude, AGI & the Future of AI & Humanity

“I think evaluations, we’re still very early in our ability to study evaluations, particularly for dynamic systems acting in the world.”

— Dario Amodei

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Everything needed to verify it.

Speaker
Dario Amodei
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
belief
Recorded
11 Nov 2024
Publisher
Lex Fridman Podcast

Transcript context

…You said what it takes to be a great AI researcher. Can we rewind the clock back, what advice would you give to people interested in AI? They’re young, looking… What advice would you give to people interested in AI? They’re young. Looking forward to how can I make an impact on the world? I think my number one piece of advice is to just start playing with the models. Actually, I worry a little, this seems like obvious advice now. I think three years ago it wasn’t obvious and people started by, “Oh, let me read the latest reinforcement learning paper.” And you should do that as well, but now with wider availability of models and APIs, people are doing this more. But, I think just experiential knowledge. These models are new artifacts that no one really understands and so getting experience playing with them. I would also say again, in line with the do something new, think in some new direction, there are all these things that haven’t been explored. For example, mechanistic interpretability is still very new. It’s probably better to work on that than it is to work on new model architectures, because it’s more popular than it was before. There are probably 100 people working on it, but there aren’t like 10,000 people working on it. And it’s just this fertile area for study. There’s so much low-hanging fruit, you can just walk by and you can pick things. For whatever reason, people aren’t interested in it enough. I think there are some things around long horizon learning and long horizon tasks, where there’s a lot to be done. I think evaluations, we’re still very early in our ability to study evaluations, particularly for dynamic systems acting in the world. I think there’s some stuff around multi-agent. Skate where the puck is going is my advice, and you don’t have to be brilliant to think of it. All the things that are going to be exciting in five years, people even mention them as conventional wisdom, but it’s just somehow there’s this barrier that people don’t double down as much as they could, or they’re afraid to do something that’s not the popular thing. I don’t know why it happens, but getting over that barrier, that’s my number one piece of advice. Let’s talk if we could a bit about post-training. So it seems that the modern post-training recipe has a little bit of everything. So supervised fine-tuning, RLHF, the constitutional AI with RLAIF-…

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