Arthur Brooks: belief

Transcript context

…How long from now do you think it will be before an AI model with good prompting will write a better policy study than, say, the 70th percentile quality study from a good think tank? That’s a good question. I think AI at not-too-distant future, will do a better job at executing policy analysis, but will do a very poor job at asking the right policy questions. I think that that’s going to be the comparative advantage, is the creativity and the human impulse, the curiosity that humans actually bring to it. The reason is because all large language models are being trained to what people have already done, ideas that people have already had. What we’re incredibly good at using the right hemisphere, the why hemisphere of our brain, is asking new why questions, which actually leads us to the creativity that we’ll ask the best policy questions going forward. That’s what we’re going to have to specialize in—you, me, and everybody else in the space. What happens to staff numbers?…

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