Evidence receipt / evaluation
Published · transcript-backedPhilip E. Tetlock: evaluation
22 Apr 2020 Conversations with Tyler Philip E. Tetlock on Forecasting and Foraging as a Fox
“I can assure you of that because there are plenty of people who are naturally more entertaining than epidemiologists.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Philip E. Tetlock
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- evaluation
- Recorded
- 22 Apr 2020
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
Transcript context
…So those forecasters maybe weren’t entertaining enough? Isn’t then, the margin we want to work on to make our better forecasters more entertaining and not more accurate. Yes, no? [laughs] Well, the Signal-to-noise ratio isn’t going to be great. I can assure you of that because there are plenty of people who are naturally more entertaining than epidemiologists. But maybe the whole portfolio needs to be more vivid rather than trying to fine-tune the accuracy of particular parts of it. Right?…
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