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Jeff Dean: belief

12 Feb 2025 Dwarkesh Podcast Jeff Dean & Noam Shazeer — 25 years at Google: from PageRank to AGI

“I think you might end up with other kinds of systems that maybe don't try to do that in a single semi-interactive, "respond in 40 seconds" kind of thing but might go off for 10 minutes and might interrupt you after five minutes saying, "I've done a lot of this, but now I need to get some input.”

— Jeff Dean

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Everything needed to verify it.

Speaker
Jeff Dean
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
belief
Recorded
12 Feb 2025
Publisher
Dwarkesh Podcast

Transcript context

…I do want to play with this idea more because it seems like a big deal if you have something kind of like an autonomous software engineer, especially from the perspective of a researcher who's like, "I want to build the system." Okay, so let's just play with this idea. As somebody who has worked on developing transformative systems through your careers, the idea that instead of having to code something like whatever today's equivalent of MapReduce is or Tensorflow is, just like, "Here's how I want a distributed AI library to look. Write it up for me." Do you imagine you could be 10x more productive? 100x more productive? I was pretty impressed. I think it was on Reddit that I saw we have a new experimental coding model that's much better at coding and math and so on. Someone external tried it, and they basically prompted it and said, "I'd like you to implement a SQL processing database system with no external dependencies, and please do that in C." From what the person said, it actually did a quite good job. It generated a SQL parser and a tokenizer and a query planning system and some storage format for the data on disk and actually was able to handle simple queries. From that prompt, which is like a paragraph of text or something, to get even an initial cut at that seems like a big boost in productivity for software developers. I think you might end up with other kinds of systems that maybe don't try to do that in a single semi-interactive, "respond in 40 seconds" kind of thing but might go off for 10 minutes and might interrupt you after five minutes saying, "I've done a lot of this, but now I need to get some input. Do you care about handling video or just images or something?" That seems like you'll need ways of managing the workflow if you have a lot of these background activities happening. Can you talk more about that? What interface do you imagine we might need if you could literally have millions of employees you could spin up, hundreds of thousands of employees you could spin up on command, who are able to type incredibly fast, and who- It's almost like you go from 1930s trading of tickets or something to now modern Jane Street or something. You need some interface to keep track of all this that's going on, for the AIs to integrate into this big monorepo and leverage their own strengths, for humans to keep track of what's happening. Basically what is it like to be Jeff or Noam in three years working day-to-day?…

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