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Tony Blair: evaluation

26 Jun 2024 Dwarkesh Podcast Tony Blair — Why political leaders keep failing at major change

“You’ve also got a whole new category of threat to deal with because the cyber threats are real and potentially devastating in their impact.”

— Tony Blair

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Speaker
Tony Blair
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
evaluation
Recorded
26 Jun 2024
Publisher
Dwarkesh Podcast

Transcript context

…How much situational awareness do they have about the topics you're talking about, whether it's AI or the next pandemic? I mean these forward-looking kinds of problems rather than who's doing an invasion? Maybe they have a lot of expertise and decades of experience with the latter sort. Predicting who's got the data center where and those kinds of things, how good are they at that? They're all over this stuff now, the intelligence services here in America and in the UK. You’ve also got a whole new category of threat to deal with because the cyber threats are real and potentially devastating in their impact. You can see from Ukraine, war is going to be fought in a completely different way in the future as well. I want to ask you about your experience advising leaders, or interacting with them in office, and seeing how their countries progressed. How much of the variance in outcomes for countries is explained by the quality of the leadership versus other endogenous factors such as human capital, geography, etc.?…

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