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Published · transcript-backed

Reiner Pope: belief

29 Apr 2026 Dwarkesh Podcast Reiner Pope – The math behind how LLMs are trained and served

“I think we just have to make some real-world assumptions here in order to do that.”

— Reiner Pope

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Speaker
Reiner Pope
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
belief
Recorded
29 Apr 2026
Publisher
Dwarkesh Podcast

Transcript context

…Right. Can we back out how much more compute than Chinchilla optimal for a given sized model? I think we just have to make some real-world assumptions here in order to do that. The inference tokens, we should totally be able to count, right? Let’s say a few hundred million. Maybe it’s five hundred million tokens a second now, I don’t really know. Five hundred million tokens a second times. A model is deployed for two months before it becomes obsolete? I can’t do this in my head. Can you type it into a computer? 2.6 x 1015.…

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