Daron Acemoglu: belief

Transcript context

…Now, you’re well known for writing a lot of papers, but just also a lot of very well-cited papers. Is AI going to increase your rate of output? So far, I think a lot of people are using AI. In economics, at least, it’s being used in a more labor-saving way. I don’t see anybody, and definitely not me, using AI in a way that, oh, my God, I’m now generating ideas I couldn’t generate. I think, both for me and other people, it’s only the very best papers that contribute significantly to collective knowledge. The question is, is AI going to change those papers? If I were, again, I’m talking for myself, to write three more of my below-average papers, nobody would care, and nobody should care about that. You don’t always know which are the hits, right? Paul McCartney, Hey Jude would be his best song. Maybe yes, maybe no. You do more. There’s some hit rate. Beethoven wrote a lot that was not as wonderful as the Fifth Symphony, and so on. The quantity and quality often go together, especially with top achievers.…

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